FC Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 34 De Vliert Monday, April 20, 2026 18:00

FC Den Bosch PPG 1.71

1-1 HIT CS2

Jong Utrecht PPG 0.76

Away· +21.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Den Bosch face Jong Utrecht in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Den Bosch a 46% chance, the draw 21% and Jong Utrecht 33%, so FC Den Bosch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC Den Bosch and 1.8 for Jong Utrecht (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Den Bosch are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.76 for Jong Utrecht. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.1%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -14.7%

Draw 20.7%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -18.2%

Away 33.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +21.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.1% Odds: 1.48 +11.2%

Over 3.5 55.2% Odds: 2.20 +21.4%

BTTS 73.5% Odds: 1.45 +6.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Den Bosch

2.13

Jong Utrecht

1.80

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +11.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+21.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=46.1%