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FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 38 Jan Louwers Stadion· Eindhoven Friday, April 24, 2026 18:00
FC Eindhoven logo FC Eindhoven PPG 1.50
1-0 HIT CS3
Helmond Sport logo Helmond Sport PPG 0.56
Away· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Eindhoven face Helmond Sport in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Eindhoven a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Helmond Sport 28%, so FC Eindhoven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Eindhoven and 1.3 for Helmond Sport (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Eindhoven are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.56 for Helmond Sport. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.8%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -9.7%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -11.5%
Away 27.7%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +2.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.5% Odds: 1.62 -6.9%
Over 3.5 35.1% Odds: 2.55 -10.5%
BTTS 58.9% Odds: 1.55 -8.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Eindhoven
1.74
Helmond Sport
1.25

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 58%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 26%
ROI -13.7%
Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=48.8%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org