Dijon vs Chateauroux Prediction— France - National 1

Match Preview & Prediction

Dijon face Chateauroux in France - National 1 on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dijon a 59% chance, the draw 26% and Chateauroux 15%, so Dijon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Dijon and 0.8 for Chateauroux (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dijon are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.00 for Chateauroux. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.0%. This match finished 1-2.