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France - National 1
Regular Season - 34
Stade Guy Piriou· Concarneau
Friday, May 15, 2026
17:30
Concarneau
PPG 1.20
2-2
MISS
Villefranche
PPG 0.67
Draw· +11.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
42.8%
Odds: 1.80
EV: -23.0%
Draw
32.8%
Odds: 3.40
EV: +11.5%
Away
24.5%
Odds: 4.00
EV: -1.2%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
34.7%
Odds: 1.80
-37.5%
Over 3.5
13.0%
Odds: 3.00
-36.6%
BTTS
48.1%
Odds: 1.67
-19.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Concarneau
1.13
Villefranche
0.80
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 36 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
33%
O2.5/Under
39%
BTTS/No
44%
Score Hit
33%
ROI
17.5%
Bet Hit
58%
(12 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.67)