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FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro logo Morocco flag Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 17 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah· Rabat Thursday, April 30, 2026 17:00
FAR Rabat logo FAR Rabat PPG 2.25
2-1 MISS
Raja Casablanca logo Raja Casablanca PPG 1.71
Draw· +11.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FAR Rabat face Raja Casablanca in Morocco - Botola Pro on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FAR Rabat a 36% chance, the draw 38% and Raja Casablanca 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for FAR Rabat and 0.8 for Raja Casablanca (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FAR Rabat are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.71 for Raja Casablanca. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.4%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -25.4%
Draw 37.8%
Odds: 2.95 EV: +11.5%
Away 25.8%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -8.4%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 24.0% Odds: 2.60 -37.6%
Over 3.5 9.2% Odds: 4.50 -58.6%
BTTS 34.1% Odds: 2.10 -28.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

FAR Rabat
0.94
Raja Casablanca
0.75

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 40%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -19.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.71)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org