Difaa El Jadida vs R. Zemamra Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 17 Thursday, April 30, 2026 15:00

Difaa El Jadida PPG 1.50

2-1 MISS

R. Zemamra PPG 1.13

Home· +4.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Difaa El Jadida face R. Zemamra in Morocco - Botola Pro on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Difaa El Jadida a 41% chance, the draw 34% and R. Zemamra 25%, so Difaa El Jadida are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Difaa El Jadida and 0.9 for R. Zemamra (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Difaa El Jadida are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.13 for R. Zemamra. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +4.8%

Draw 33.5%

Odds: 2.85 EV: -4.5%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -28.9%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.7% Odds: 2.88 -0.1%

Over 3.5 15.9% Odds: 4.50 -28.4%

BTTS 43.2% Odds: 2.20 -5.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Difaa El Jadida

1.20

R. Zemamra

0.89

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)