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Indonesia - Liga 1 logo Indonesia flag Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 30 Sumpah Pemuda· Bandar Lampung Thursday, April 30, 2026 12:00
Bhayangkara S. logo Bhayangkara S. PPG 2.14
2-4 MISS
Persib logo Persib PPG 1.64
Home· +48.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.0%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +48.8%
Draw 31.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +14.1%
Away 37.3%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -39.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.2% Odds: 1.85 -21.9%
Over 3.5 21.5% Odds: 3.20 -31.2%
BTTS 50.0% Odds: 1.80 -10.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bhayangkara S.
1.12
Persib
1.25

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+48.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away GOOD (1.64)

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