Indonesia - Liga 1Regular Season - 30Sumpah Pemuda· Bandar LampungThursday, April 30, 202612:00
Bhayangkara S.PPG 2.14
2-4MISS
PersibPPG 1.64
Home· +48.8%✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home31.0%
Odds: 4.80EV: +48.8%
Draw31.7%
Odds: 3.60EV: +14.1%
Away37.3%
Odds: 1.62EV: -39.6%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.542.2%Odds: 1.85-21.9%
Over 3.521.5%Odds: 3.20-31.2%
BTTS50.0%Odds: 1.80-10.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-0✘
3rd0-1✘
4th1-0✘
5th1-2✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bhayangkara S.
1.12
Persib
1.25
Model Suggestion
BTTS-10.0%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Home (+48.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away GOOD (1.64)