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PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Indonesia - Liga 1 logo Indonesia flag Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 30 Mandala Krida Stadium· Yogyakarta Thursday, April 30, 2026 08:30
PSIM Yogyakarta logo PSIM Yogyakarta PPG 1.36
0-1 HIT CS4
Persita logo Persita PPG 1.07
Draw· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

PSIM Yogyakarta face Persita in Indonesia - Liga 1 on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PSIM Yogyakarta a 37% chance, the draw 32% and Persita 31%, so PSIM Yogyakarta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.1 for Persita (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PSIM Yogyakarta are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.07 for Persita. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -20.9%
Draw 31.8%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +6.5%
Away 31.4%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -5.8%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.0% Odds: 1.85 -22.3%
Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: 3.20 -31.8%
BTTS 49.9% Odds: 1.67 -16.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

PSIM Yogyakarta
1.24
Persita
1.13

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org