Maghreb de Fes vs Hassania Agadir Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 17 Wednesday, April 29, 2026 19:00

Maghreb de Fes PPG 2.43

4-0 MISS

Hassania Agadir PPG 1.00

Home· -1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Maghreb de Fes face Hassania Agadir in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maghreb de Fes a 60% chance, the draw 28% and Hassania Agadir 12%, so Maghreb de Fes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Maghreb de Fes and 0.6 for Hassania Agadir (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maghreb de Fes are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.00 for Hassania Agadir. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.8%

Odds: 1.65 EV: -1.3%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -11.0%

Away 12.4%

Odds: 5.60 EV: -30.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.1% Odds: 2.55 -2.9%

Over 3.5 18.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 38.2% Odds: 2.30 -12.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Maghreb de Fes

1.60

Hassania Agadir

0.61

Model SuggestionHome -1.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -1.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.43) vs P(Home)=59.8%