Wydad vs Yacoub El Manso Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 17 Stade Mohamed V· Casablanca Wednesday, April 29, 2026 17:00

Wydad PPG 2.00

1-2 MISS

Yacoub El Manso PPG 0.38

Away· +28.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wydad face Yacoub El Manso in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wydad a 63% chance, the draw 25% and Yacoub El Manso 13%, so Wydad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wydad and 0.7 for Yacoub El Manso (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wydad are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.38 for Yacoub El Manso. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.6%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -18.6%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +7.8%

Away 12.5%

Odds: 10.25 EV: +28.1%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.5% Odds: 1.80 -14.5%

Over 3.5 25.8% Odds: 2.90 -25.2%

BTTS 45.0% Odds: 2.10 -5.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wydad

1.85

Yacoub El Manso

0.72

Model SuggestionHome -18.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -18.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+28.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -19.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=62.6%