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Olympic Safi vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Regular Season - 17 ·Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 17:00

Olympic Safi

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Ittihad Tanger

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-111.8%0-25.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.7%1-113.4%1-26.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.8%2-17.6%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.0%3-12.9%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 45.5% 2.20 -17.9%

Draw 33.7% 33.9% 2.95 -0.6%

Away win 29.0% 30.3% 3.30 -4.3%

Over 2.5 35.5% 40.8% 2.45 -13.0%

Over 3.5 16.4% 21.1% 4.75 -22.1%

BTTS 44.4% 50.0% 2.00 -11.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob44.4%

D 34% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 1–0 13.7%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic Safi1.1

Ittihad Tanger1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.5% · O3.5 PROB 16.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC SAFI · PPG 0.75

ITTIHAD TANGER · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Olympic Safi (H) 37.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -17.9%

Draw 33.7%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -0.6%

Ittihad Tanger (A) 29.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic Safi face Ittihad Tanger in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic Safi a 37% chance, the draw 34% and Ittihad Tanger 29%, so Olympic Safi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Olympic Safi and 1.0 for Ittihad Tanger (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic Safi are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Ittihad Tanger. This match finished 1-2.

Olympic Safi vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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