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Wiedenbruck vs S. Siegen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 22 ·Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 17:00

Wiedenbruck

PPG 1.23 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

S. Siegen

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.8%0-26.7%0-33.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-06.3%1-110.7%1-29.2%1-35.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.3%2-17.4%2-26.3%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.0%3-13.4%3-22.9%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% 23.1% 4.33 +26.4%

Draw 26.8% 27.8% 3.60 -3.5%

Away win 44.0% 59.9% 1.67 -26.5%

Over 2.5 59.6% — — —

Over 3.5 37.2% — — —

BTTS 62.8% 62.5% 1.60 +0.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.8%

A 44% / xG 1.4-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiedenbruck1.4

S. Siegen1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WIEDENBRUCK · PPG 1.23

S. SIEGEN · PPG 1.47

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Wiedenbruck (H) 29.2%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +26.4%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -3.5%

S. Siegen (A) 44.0%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiedenbruck face S. Siegen in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiedenbruck a 29% chance, the draw 27% and S. Siegen 44%, so S. Siegen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wiedenbruck and 1.7 for S. Siegen (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiedenbruck are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.47 for S. Siegen. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.4%. This match finished 2-3.

Wiedenbruck vs S. Siegen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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