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Rodinghausen vs Schalke 04 B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Rodinghausen

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Schalke 04 B

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-14.2%0-25.7%0-35.1%0-4+6.7%1 1-02.3%1-16.1%1-28.3%1-37.5%1-4+9.8%2 2-01.6%2-14.5%2-26.0%2-35.5%2-4+7.1%3 3-00.8%3-12.2%3-22.9%3-32.7%3-4+3.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.1%4+-21.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.5% 41.7% 2.40 -38.8%

Draw 22.2% 26.7% 3.75 -16.8%

Away win 52.3% 41.7% 2.40 +25.5%

Over 2.5 61.2% 66.7% 1.50 -8.2%

Over 3.5 59.9% 43.5% 2.30 +37.8%

BTTS 58.5% 70.4% 1.42 -16.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob58.5%

A 52% / xG 1.5-2.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–3 7.5%

#3 1–1 6.1%

#4 2–2 6.0%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rodinghausen1.5

Schalke 04 B2.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 59.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RODINGHAUSEN · PPG 1.00

SCHALKE 04 B · PPG 1.79

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.79) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Rodinghausen (H) 25.5%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -38.8%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -16.8%

Schalke 04 B (A) 52.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +25.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rodinghausen face Schalke 04 B in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rodinghausen a 26% chance, the draw 22% and Schalke 04 B 52%, so Schalke 04 B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rodinghausen and 2.7 for Schalke 04 B (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rodinghausen are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.79 for Schalke 04 B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +37.8%. This match finished 3-3.

Rodinghausen vs Schalke 04 B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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