Al Taawon vs Al Ittihad Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 30 Al Taawon Arena· Buraidah Wednesday, April 29, 2026 16:10

Al Taawon PPG 1.79

0-2 MISS

Al Ittihad PPG 1.29

Home· +55.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Taawon face Al Ittihad in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Taawon a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Al Ittihad 23%, so Al Taawon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Taawon and 1.1 for Al Ittihad (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Taawon are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.29 for Al Ittihad. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +55.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.2%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +55.6%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -1.1%

Away 22.6%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -52.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.9% Odds: 1.67 -10.0%

Over 3.5 31.6% Odds: 2.70 -14.7%

BTTS 56.7% Odds: 1.55 -12.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Taawon

1.73

Al Ittihad

1.11

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.79) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)