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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 30 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium· Riyadh Wednesday, April 29, 2026 16:00
Al Riyadh logo Al Riyadh PPG 1.00
0-4 MISS
Al Quadisiya logo Al Quadisiya PPG 2.07
Home· +25.9% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 21.9%
Odds: 5.75 EV: +25.9%
Draw 25.4%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +14.3%
Away 52.7%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -22.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.5% Odds: 1.48 -11.9%
Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.15 -20.2%
BTTS 60.5% Odds: 1.55 -6.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh
1.18
Al Quadisiya
1.90

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+25.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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