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Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Germany - Frauen Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 18 Weserstadion Platz 11· Bremen Wednesday, April 29, 2026 16:00
Werder Bremen W logo Werder Bremen W PPG 2.27
0-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Bayern Munich W logo Bayern Munich W PPG 3.00
Draw· -6.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Werder Bremen W face Bayern Munich W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werder Bremen W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Bayern Munich W 65%, so Bayern Munich W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Werder Bremen W and 2.3 for Bayern Munich W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werder Bremen W are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 3.00 for Bayern Munich W. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.4%
Odds: 6.40 EV: -14.2%
Draw 21.2%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -6.7%
Away 65.4%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -8.4%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.0% Odds: 1.45 -8.6%
Over 3.5 40.8% Odds: 2.15 -12.3%
BTTS 57.0% Odds: 1.57 -10.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-3
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Werder Bremen W
0.97
Bayern Munich W
2.27

Model Suggestion

Away -8.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -8.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 28%
ROI 6.0%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.27)

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