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Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 18 ·Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 16:00

Werder Bremen W

PPG 2.27 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Bayern Munich W

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.4% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-18.9%0-210.1%0-37.6%0-4+7.4%1 1-03.8%1-18.6%1-29.8%1-37.4%1-4+7.2%2 2-01.8%2-14.2%2-24.7%2-33.6%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.6%3-11.4%3-21.5%3-31.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% 15.6% 6.40 -14.2%

Draw 21.2% 22.7% 4.40 -6.7%

Away win 65.4% 71.4% 1.40 -8.4%

Over 2.5 63.0% 69.0% 1.45 -8.6%

Over 3.5 40.8% 46.5% 2.15 -12.3%

BTTS 57.0% 63.7% 1.57 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob57.0%

A 65% / xG 1.0-2.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 10.1%

#2 1–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–3 7.6%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Werder Bremen W1.0

Bayern Munich W2.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WERDER BREMEN W · PPG 2.27

BAYERN MUNICH W · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.27)

Win probability 1X2

Werder Bremen W (H) 13.4%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV -14.2%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -6.7%

Bayern Munich W (A) 65.4%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Werder Bremen W face Bayern Munich W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werder Bremen W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Bayern Munich W 65%, so Bayern Munich W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Werder Bremen W and 2.3 for Bayern Munich W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werder Bremen W are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 3.00 for Bayern Munich W. This match finished 0-2.

Werder Bremen W vs Bayern Munich W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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