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VfL Wolfsburg W vs Werder Bremen W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

VfL Wolfsburg W

PPG 1.97 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

UPCOMING

Werder Bremen W

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 69% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.9%0-23.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.6%1-18.4%1-26.3%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.3%3-16.4%3-24.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-15.6%4+-24.2%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% 73.5% 1.36 -30.0%

Draw 21.1% 22.2% 4.50 -3.0%

Away win 27.4% 16.7% 6.00 +38.6%

Over 2.5 66.8% 69.4% 1.44 -3.8%

Over 3.5 44.9% 50.0% 2.00 -10.2%

BTTS 63.5% 61.7% 1.62 +2.9%

Home O1.5 60.3% 75.2% 1.33 -19.8%

Away O1.5 43.6% 28.6% 3.50 +52.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -11.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 6.3%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfL Wolfsburg W2.1

Werder Bremen W1.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VFL WOLFSBURG W · PPG 1.97

WERDER BREMEN W · PPG 1.56

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

69%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

VfL Wolfsburg W (H) 51.5%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -30.0%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -3.0%

Werder Bremen W (A) 27.4%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +38.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

VfL Wolfsburg W face Werder Bremen W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfL Wolfsburg W a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Werder Bremen W 27%, so VfL Wolfsburg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for VfL Wolfsburg W and 1.5 for Werder Bremen W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfL Wolfsburg W are averaging 1.97 points per game versus 1.56 for Werder Bremen W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +65.4%.

VfL Wolfsburg W vs Werder Bremen W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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