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FUS Rabat vs Meknes Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Matchday 17 ·Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 15:00

FUS Rabat

PPG 1.57 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Meknes

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-111.8%0-25.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.4%2-17.5%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.8%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 54.1% 1.85 -27.9%

Draw 34.3% 31.3% 3.20 +9.8%

Away win 26.7% 25.3% 3.95 +5.5%

Over 2.5 33.0% 42.6% 2.35 -22.4%

Over 3.5 14.7% 22.2% 4.50 -33.9%

BTTS 42.0% 48.8% 2.05 -13.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 22.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob42.0%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 1–0✓ 14.9%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FUS Rabat1.1

Meknes0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 14.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FUS RABAT · PPG 1.57

MEKNES · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

42%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

FUS Rabat (H) 39.0%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -27.9%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +9.8%

Meknes (A) 26.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

FUS Rabat face Meknes in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FUS Rabat a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Meknes 27%, so FUS Rabat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for FUS Rabat and 0.9 for Meknes (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FUS Rabat are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.00 for Meknes. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +9.8%. This match finished 1-0.

FUS Rabat vs Meknes Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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