FC Porto B vs Benfica B Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 34 Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes· Vila Nova de Gaia Friday, May 15, 2026 17:00

FC Porto B PPG 1.81

2-0 MISS

Benfica B PPG 1.19

Home· +26.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +26.7%

Draw 31.6%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +10.6%

Away 28.8%

Odds: 2.04 EV: -24.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.4% Odds: 1.77 -19.6%

Over 3.5 18.3% Odds: 2.90 -28.2%

BTTS 51.2% Odds: 1.62 -17.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto B

1.18

Benfica B

1.04

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+26.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)