Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel Prediction & Tips

Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 34 Estádio da Capital do Móvel· Paços de Ferreira Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:30

Pacos Ferreira PPG 1.38

2-1 MISS

Penafiel PPG 0.94

Away· +57.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Home 35.7%

Odds: 1.68 EV: -40.0%

Draw 28.9%

Odds: 3.70 EV: +4.2%

Away 35.4%

Odds: 4.45 EV: +57.5%

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.77 -18.2%

Over 3.5 16.5% Odds: 2.95 -30.8%

BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.70 -16.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Pacos Ferreira

1.05

Penafiel

1.07

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.94)