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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 34
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa· Leiria
Sunday, May 17, 2026
14:30
Uniao de Leiria
PPG 1.63
2-2
MISS
Feirense
PPG 1.31
Away· +2.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
48.0%
Odds: 1.75
EV: -16.0%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.55
EV: -2.1%
Away
24.8%
Odds: 4.20
EV: +2.5%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.6%
Odds: 1.80
-14.3%
Over 3.5
24.4%
Odds: 3.00
-16.1%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.70
-12.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Uniao de Leiria
1.46
Feirense
1.05
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-12.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)