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Portugal - Segunda Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 34 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa· Leiria Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:30
Uniao de Leiria logo Uniao de Leiria PPG 1.63
2-2 MISS
Feirense logo Feirense PPG 1.31
Away· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -16.0%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -2.1%
Away 24.8%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +2.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.80 -14.3%
Over 3.5 24.4% Odds: 3.00 -16.1%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.70 -12.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Uniao de Leiria
1.46
Feirense
1.05

Model Suggestion

BTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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