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Portugal - Segunda Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 34 Estádio do Mar· Matosinhos Sunday, May 17, 2026 17:00
Leixoes logo Leixoes PPG 1.38
2-1 HIT CS2
Lusitania FC logo Lusitania FC PPG 1.31
Away· +17.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.5%
Odds: 2.08 EV: -22.0%
Draw 25.7%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -7.6%
Away 36.7%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +17.4%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.85 +9.3%
Over 3.5 36.4% Odds: 3.10 +12.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.67 -0.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Leixoes
1.55
Lusitania FC
1.50

Model Suggestion

BTTS -0.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+17.4%)

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 38%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -45.7%
Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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