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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 34
Estádio do Mar· Matosinhos
Sunday, May 17, 2026
17:00
Leixoes
PPG 1.38
2-1
HIT CS2
Lusitania FC
PPG 1.31
Away· +17.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
37.5%
Odds: 2.08
EV: -22.0%
Draw
25.7%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -7.6%
Away
36.7%
Odds: 3.20
EV: +17.4%
Model lean:
BTTS
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.1%
Odds: 1.85
+9.3%
Over 3.5
36.4%
Odds: 3.10
+12.8%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.67
-0.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✔
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Leixoes
1.55
Lusitania FC
1.50
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-0.3%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Away(+17.4%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
48%
O2.5/Under
45%
BTTS/No
38%
Score Hit
41%
ROI
-45.7%
Bet Hit
30%
(10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.31)