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Academico Viseu vs Sporting CP B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:00

Academico Viseu

PPG 2.19 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Sporting CP B

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-19.0%0-23.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.9%1-112.6%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-18.7%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.8%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 68.5% 1.46 -28.0%

Draw 26.7% 25.3% 3.95 +3.3%

Away win 24.0% 15.4% 6.50 +33.6%

Over 2.5 46.2% 55.6% 1.80 -16.8%

Over 3.5 18.8% 33.3% 3.00 -26.2%

BTTS 49.2% 54.1% 1.85 -9.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 0–0✓ 10.7%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Academico Viseu1.4

Sporting CP B0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ACADEMICO VISEU · PPG 2.19

SPORTING CP B · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Academico Viseu (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.46 · IMPLIED 68.5% EV -28.0%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +3.3%

Sporting CP B (A) 24.0%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +33.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Academico Viseu face Sporting CP B in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Academico Viseu a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Sporting CP B 24%, so Academico Viseu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Academico Viseu and 0.8 for Sporting CP B (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Academico Viseu are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.25 for Sporting CP B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Academico Viseu vs Sporting CP B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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