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Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 34 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla· Zabrze Saturday, May 23, 2026 15:30
Gornik Zabrze logo Gornik Zabrze PPG 1.94
6-2 MISS
Radomiak Radom logo Radomiak Radom PPG 0.81
Away· +23.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.7%
Odds: 1.47 EV: -25.5%
Draw 25.2%
Odds: 4.65 EV: +10.3%
Away 24.1%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +23.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%
Over 3.5 26.5% Odds: 2.45 -21.0%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gornik Zabrze
1.58
Radomiak Radom
1.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -17.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -17.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=50.7%

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