Poland - EkstraklasaRegular Season - 34zondacrypto Arena· CzestochowaSaturday, May 23, 202615:30
Rakow C.PPG 1.56
3-0MISS
Arka GdyniaPPG 0.38
Away· +58.0%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home53.2%
Odds: 1.31EV: -30.3%
Draw24.7%
Odds: 5.10EV: +15.6%
Away22.1%
Odds: 8.90EV: +58.0%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.552.6%Odds: 1.57-17.4%
Over 3.527.5%Odds: 2.40-20.4%
BTTS51.6%Odds: 1.90-2.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd1-0✘
4th2-1✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rakow C.
1.85
Arka Gdynia
0.80
Model Suggestion
Home-30.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -30.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+58.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=53.2%