Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warsaw Prediction & Tips

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Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 33 Polsat Plus Arena· Gdansk Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:30

Lechia Gdansk PPG 1.75

1-2 HIT CS4

Legia Warsaw PPG 1.00

Home· +30.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.7%

Odds: 2.68 EV: +30.5%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -5.7%

Away 25.8%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -22.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.70 +0.5%

Over 3.5 36.3% Odds: 2.80 +1.6%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.60 -4.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lechia Gdansk

1.74

Legia Warsaw

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -16.8%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)