Today / Denmark - Superliga / Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland

Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Championship Group - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Nordsjaelland

PPG 1.93 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

FC Midtjylland

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.5%0-27.3%0-34.7%0-4+3.5%1 1-05.1%1-19.9%1-29.5%1-36.2%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.3%2-16.5%2-26.3%2-34.1%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.8%3-22.7%3-31.8%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% 33.9% 2.95 -11.2%

Draw 27.0% 27.4% 3.65 -0.9%

Away win 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Over 2.5 60.2% 66.7% 1.50 -9.7%

Over 3.5 40.9% 45.5% 2.20 -10.0%

BTTS 58.8% 71.4% 1.40 -17.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nordsjaelland1.3

FC Midtjylland1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

NORDSJAELLAND · PPG 1.93

FC MIDTJYLLAND · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.93), Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Nordsjaelland (H) 27.6%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -11.2%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -0.9%

FC Midtjylland (A) 45.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nordsjaelland face FC Midtjylland in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nordsjaelland a 28% chance, the draw 27% and FC Midtjylland 45%, so FC Midtjylland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nordsjaelland and 1.9 for FC Midtjylland (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nordsjaelland are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.93 for FC Midtjylland. This match finished 0-0.

Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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