Today / Denmark - Superliga / Randers FC vs Odense BK

Randers FC vs Odense BK Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group - 31 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 17:00

Randers FC

PPG 1.20 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Odense BK

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.3%0-25.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.7%1-111.2%1-28.2%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.6%2-26.3%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.0%3-14.4%3-23.2%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.4%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 45.5% 2.20 -15.5%

Draw 26.1% 28.2% 3.55 -4.4%

Away win 35.4% 33.3% 3.00 +6.2%

Over 2.5 59.4% 60.6% 1.65 -2.0%

Over 3.5 35.2% 38.2% 2.62 -7.8%

BTTS 58.6% 65.4% 1.53 -10.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.6%

H 38% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 0–0 5.0%

#5 2–2✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Randers FC1.5

Odense BK1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RANDERS FC · PPG 1.20

ODENSE BK · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Randers FC (H) 38.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -15.5%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -4.4%

Odense BK (A) 35.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Randers FC face Odense BK in Denmark - Superliga on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Randers FC a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Odense BK 35%, so Randers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Randers FC and 1.5 for Odense BK (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Randers FC are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.07 for Odense BK. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 2-2.

Randers FC vs Odense BK Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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