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Denmark - Superliga logo Denmark flag Denmark - Superliga Relegation Group - 32 Monjasa Park· Fredericia Sunday, May 17, 2026 12:00
Fredericia logo Fredericia PPG 0.87
4-1 MISS
Silkeborg logo Silkeborg PPG 1.13
Over3.5· +10.7% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.9%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -9.9%
Draw 23.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -7.3%
Away 35.0%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +5.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.48 -5.4%
Over 3.5 50.3% Odds: 2.20 +10.7%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.40 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Fredericia
1.89
Silkeborg
1.80

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

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