Today / Denmark - Superliga / Silkeborg vs FC Kobenhavn

Silkeborg vs FC Kobenhavn Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group · Matchday 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 14:00

Silkeborg logo
Silkeborg
PPG 1.27 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWLL
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
FC Kobenhavn logo
FC Kobenhavn
PPG 1.53 · AWAY
LAST 5
WDWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 68% chance

Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.8%0-26.3%0-34.5%0-4+4.1%1 1-03.9%1-18.5%1-29.1%1-36.6%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.8%2-16.1%2-26.6%2-34.8%2-4+4.3%3 3-01.4%3-13.0%3-23.2%3-32.3%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.5%4+-21.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 26.7% 26.3% 3.80 +0.9%
Draw 26.1% 25.6% 3.90 +1.1%
Away win 47.2% 55.6% 1.80 -15.0%
Over 2.5 61.7% 69.0% 1.45 -10.5%
Over 3.5 48.7% 47.6% 2.10 +2.3%
BTTS 62.5% 70.4% 1.42 -11.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 38%
ROI -4.0%
Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-4
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob62.5%

A 47% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%
#2 1–2 9.1%
#3 2–2 6.6%
#4 1–3 6.6%
#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silkeborg1.5
FC Kobenhavn2.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SILKEBORG · PPG 1.27

FC KOBENHAVN · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
68%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Silkeborg (H) 26.7%
ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +0.9%
Draw 26.1%
ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +1.1%
FC Kobenhavn (A) 47.2%
ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -15.0%

Season Statistics average per match · 32 matches · 2025

Silkeborg ▾ lower is better FC Kobenhavn

Attack

11.4
Shots
17.6
4.6
Shots on target
5.9
3.6
Shots off target
6.6
3.2
Blocked shots
5.1
6.9
Shots inside box
11.8
4.5
Shots outside box
5.7
39.9%
Shooting accuracy
33.4%
28.1%
Goals per shot on target
36.1%
1.28
Goals
2.12
1.29
xG for 31·31 of 32
2.15

Defence

16.1
Shots faced
9.8
6.8
Shots on target faced
3.9
2.09
Goals conceded
1.36
2.09
xG against 31·31 of 32
1.28
4.6
Goalkeeper saves
2.6

Control

48.8%
Possession
55.1%
533
Passes
523
457
Accurate passes
440
85.7%
Pass accuracy
84.2%
4.3
Corners
5.8
5.4
Corners faced
4.5
1.0
Offsides
1.8

Discipline

7.2
Fouls
12.1
1.1
Yellow cards
1.8
0.03
Red cards
0.06

Match Preview & Prediction

Silkeborg face FC Kobenhavn in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silkeborg a 27% chance, the draw 26% and FC Kobenhavn 47%, so FC Kobenhavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Silkeborg and 2.2 for FC Kobenhavn (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silkeborg are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.53 for FC Kobenhavn. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 0-4.

PredictVantage

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