Today / Denmark - Superliga / Silkeborg vs FC Kobenhavn

Silkeborg vs FC Kobenhavn Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 14:00

Silkeborg logo
Silkeborg
PPG 1.27 · HOME
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
FC Kobenhavn logo
FC Kobenhavn
PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.8%0-26.3%0-34.5%0-4+4.1%1 1-03.9%1-18.5%1-29.1%1-36.6%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.8%2-16.1%2-26.6%2-34.8%2-4+4.3%3 3-01.4%3-13.0%3-23.2%3-32.3%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.5%4+-21.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 26.7% 26.3% 3.80 +0.9%
Draw 26.1% 25.6% 3.90 +1.1%
Away win 47.2% 55.6% 1.80 -15.0%
Over 2.5 61.7% 69.0% 1.45 -10.5%
Over 3.5 48.7% 47.6% 2.10 +2.3%
BTTS 62.5% 70.4% 1.42 -11.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -9.7%
Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-4
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob62.5%

A 47% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%
#2 1–2 9.1%
#3 2–2 6.6%
#4 1–3 6.6%
#5 0–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silkeborg1.5
FC Kobenhavn2.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SILKEBORG · PPG 1.27

FC KOBENHAVN · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Silkeborg (H) 26.7%
ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +0.9%
Draw 26.1%
ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +1.1%
FC Kobenhavn (A) 47.2%
ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -15.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Silkeborg face FC Kobenhavn in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silkeborg a 27% chance, the draw 26% and FC Kobenhavn 47%, so FC Kobenhavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Silkeborg and 2.2 for FC Kobenhavn (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silkeborg are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.53 for FC Kobenhavn. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 0-4.

PredictVantage

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