Today / Denmark - Superliga / FC Kobenhavn vs Randers FC

FC Kobenhavn vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Relegation Group - 32 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

FC Kobenhavn

PPG 1.47 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Randers FC

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-15.7%0-23.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.7%1-25.6%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.8%3-16.1%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-14.3%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 63.7% 1.57 -18.8%

Draw 24.0% 23.8% 4.20 +0.5%

Away win 24.3% 19.6% 5.10 +14.4%

Over 2.5 59.1% 64.5% 1.55 -8.4%

Over 3.5 33.2% 42.6% 2.35 -22.0%

BTTS 54.6% 63.7% 1.57 -14.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Kobenhavn1.9

Randers FC1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FC KOBENHAVN · PPG 1.47

RANDERS FC · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

FC Kobenhavn (H) 51.7%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -18.8%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +0.5%

Randers FC (A) 24.3%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +14.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Kobenhavn face Randers FC in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Kobenhavn a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Randers FC 24%, so FC Kobenhavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for FC Kobenhavn and 1.1 for Randers FC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Kobenhavn are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.07 for Randers FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 5-0.

FC Kobenhavn vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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