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Bromley vs Cambridge Utd Prediction— England - League Two

Regular Season - 44 ·Thursday, April 16, 2026, 19:00

Bromley logo
Bromley
PPG 2.24 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Cambridge Utd logo
Cambridge Utd
PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-19.7%0-25.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.0%1-112.9%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.0%2-18.6%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.5%3-13.8%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.5% 32.3% 3.10 +31.8%
Draw 27.3% 32.3% 3.10 -15.4%
Away win 30.2% 42.6% 2.35 -29.0%
Over 2.5 43.3% 44.4% 2.25 -2.6%
Over 3.5 22.3% 23.8% 4.20 -6.3%
BTTS 48.5% 54.1% 1.85 -10.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 51%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 9.4%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 1–0 12.0%
#3 0–1 9.7%
#4 0–0 9.0%
#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bromley1.3
Cambridge Utd1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.3% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BROMLEY · PPG 2.24

CAMBRIDGE UTD · PPG 1.38

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.24) vs P(Home)=42.5%

Win probability 1X2

Bromley (H) 42.5%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +31.8%
Draw 27.3%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -15.4%
Cambridge Utd (A) 30.2%
ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -29.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bromley face Cambridge Utd in England - League Two on Thursday, April 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bromley a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Cambridge Utd 30%, so Bromley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bromley and 1.1 for Cambridge Utd (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bromley are averaging 2.24 points per game versus 1.38 for Cambridge Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +31.8%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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