Crawley Town vs Salford City Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 46 The Broadfield Stadium· Crawley Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00

Crawley Town PPG 1.09

0-0 HIT CS2

Salford City PPG 1.55

Draw· +13.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Crawley Town face Salford City in England - League Two on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Crawley Town a 30% chance, the draw 31% and Salford City 39%, so Salford City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Crawley Town and 1.3 for Salford City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Crawley Town are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.55 for Salford City. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +4.0%

Draw 31.0%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +13.2%

Away 39.3%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -22.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.3% Odds: 1.80 -20.3%

Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: 3.00 -30.7%

BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.67 -14.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Crawley Town

1.12

Salford City

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+13.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.09) vs Away GOOD (1.55)