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Bromley vs Walsall Prediction— England - League Two

Matchday 46 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Bromley

PPG 2.18 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Walsall

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 51.1% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-18.9%0-24.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.1%1-112.6%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-18.9%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.0%3-14.2%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 55.2% 1.81 -20.9%

Draw 30.4% 26.7% 3.75 +14.0%

Away win 25.9% 25.0% 4.00 +3.6%

Over 2.5 44.7% 57.1% 1.75 -21.8%

Over 3.5 23.5% 35.1% 2.85 -33.0%

BTTS 51.1% 60.6% 1.65 -15.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -12.1%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.1%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bromley1.4

Walsall1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.7% · O3.5 PROB 23.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BROMLEY · PPG 2.18

WALSALL · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

58%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.18) > Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Bromley (H) 43.7%

ODDS 1.81 · IMPLIED 55.2% EV -20.9%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +14.0%

Walsall (A) 25.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +3.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bromley face Walsall in England - League Two on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bromley a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Walsall 26%, so Bromley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bromley and 1.0 for Walsall (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bromley are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.64 for Walsall. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 3-1.

Bromley vs Walsall Prediction— England - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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