Oldham PPG 1.59
Accrington PPG 0.95Oldham face Accrington in England - League Two on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oldham a 44% chance, the draw 32% and Accrington 24%, so Oldham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Oldham and 0.9 for Accrington (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oldham are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.95 for Accrington. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +17.2%. This match finished 3-0.
Based on 41 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away POOR (0.95)