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Bahrain - Premier League Thursday, April 16, 2026 16:00 
Al-Najma PPG 1.88 
Budaiya PPG 1.50
Bahrain - Premier League Thursday, April 16, 2026 16:00 Al-Najma PPG 1.881-2 HIT CS4
Budaiya PPG 1.50Over3.5· +94.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 74.7% Odds: 2.00 +49.4%
Over 3.5 54.7% Odds: 3.55 +94.2%
BTTS 73.0% Odds: 1.77 +29.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✔
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Najma 2.15
Budaiya 1.75
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +49.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+94.2%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+94.2%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.50)