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Slovenia - 1. SNL
Regular Season - 30
Sportni park Aluminij· Kidricevo
Thursday, April 16, 2026
15:00
Aluminij
PPG 1.07
2-1
HIT CS4
Mura
PPG 0.36
Home· +47.9%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
58.7%
Odds: 2.52
EV: +47.9%
Draw
22.8%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -23.6%
Away
18.5%
Odds: 2.52
EV: -53.4%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
51.0%
Odds: 1.75
-10.8%
Over 3.5
28.9%
Odds: 2.80
-19.1%
BTTS
49.8%
Odds: 1.55
-22.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-1
✔
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Aluminij
1.81
Mura
0.90
Model Suggestion
Home
+47.9%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.07) > Away POOR (0.36)