Mura vs Maribor Prediction & Tips

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Slovenia - 1. SNL Regular Season - 35 Mestni stadion Fazanerija· Murska Sobota Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00

Mura PPG 1.25

2-1 MISS

Maribor PPG 1.31

Home· +0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.5%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +0.7%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +0.3%

Away 43.5%

Odds: 1.89 EV: -17.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.70 -19.1%

Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 2.75 -18.8%

BTTS 51.9% Odds: 1.60 -17.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mura

1.06

Maribor

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+0.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.31)