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Slovenia - 1. SNL Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:30 
NK Celje PPG 2.44 
Koper PPG 1.44
Slovenia - 1. SNL Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:30 NK Celje PPG 2.441-2 MISS
Koper PPG 1.44Home· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.57 +0.3%
Over 3.5 46.2% Odds: 2.30 +6.3%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Celje 2.27
Koper 1.22
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +0.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+7.2%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+7.2%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 74%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 85.1%
Bet Hit 91% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=53.6%