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NK Olimpija vs Radomlje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Regular Season - 35 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:30

NK Olimpija

PPG 1.69 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Radomlje

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-15.7%0-23.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.8%1-110.6%1-26.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.0%3-16.0%3-23.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.2%4+-22.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 67.1% 1.49 -23.0%

Draw 24.0% 23.3% 4.30 +1.9%

Away win 24.3% 18.2% 5.50 +20.2%

Over 2.5 59.1% 63.7% 1.57 -7.2%

Over 3.5 36.2% 41.7% 2.40 -13.1%

BTTS 59.7% 60.6% 1.65 -1.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 30.6%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1✓ 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NK Olimpija1.8

Radomlje1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NK OLIMPIJA · PPG 1.69

RADOMLJE · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

NK Olimpija (H) 51.7%

ODDS 1.49 · IMPLIED 67.1% EV -23.0%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +1.9%

Radomlje (A) 24.3%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +20.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

NK Olimpija face Radomlje in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NK Olimpija a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Radomlje 24%, so NK Olimpija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for NK Olimpija and 1.2 for Radomlje (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NK Olimpija are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.19 for Radomlje. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.2%. This match finished 2-1.

NK Olimpija vs Radomlje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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