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Bravo vs Radomlje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:00

Bravo

PPG 1.73 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Radomlje

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.1%0-22.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.2%1-18.7%1-26.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.5%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.6%3-16.6%3-24.6%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.7%4+-24.0%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 64.9% 1.54 -24.1%

Draw 25.6% 28.2% 3.55 -5.5%

Away win 25.1% 16.1% 6.20 +33.4%

Over 2.5 61.7% 63.7% 1.57 -3.1%

Over 3.5 47.1% 43.5% 2.30 +8.3%

BTTS 59.4% 63.7% 1.57 -6.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 30.6%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.4%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1✓ 9.3%

#3 2–2 6.6%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bravo2.1

Radomlje1.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAVO · PPG 1.73

RADOMLJE · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Bravo (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.54 · IMPLIED 64.9% EV -24.1%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -5.5%

Radomlje (A) 25.1%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +33.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bravo face Radomlje in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bravo a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Radomlje 25%, so Bravo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Bravo and 1.4 for Radomlje (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bravo are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.27 for Radomlje. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Bravo vs Radomlje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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