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Bravo vs NK Olimpija Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 18:15

Bravo

PPG 1.81 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

NK Olimpija

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.8%0-25.4%0-32.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.4%1-111.7%1-28.0%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.7%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.1%3-14.3%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.5% 35.7% 2.80 +10.6%

Draw 25.6% 29.0% 3.45 -7.0%

Away win 34.9% 44.2% 2.26 -21.1%

Over 2.5 57.5% 57.1% 1.75 +0.6%

Over 3.5 32.4% 35.1% 2.85 -7.7%

BTTS 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 30.6%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 40% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1✓ 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bravo1.5

NK Olimpija1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAVO · PPG 1.81

NK OLIMPIJA · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Bravo (H) 39.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +10.6%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -7.0%

NK Olimpija (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.26 · IMPLIED 44.2% EV -21.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bravo face NK Olimpija in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bravo a 40% chance, the draw 26% and NK Olimpija 35%, so Bravo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bravo and 1.4 for NK Olimpija (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bravo are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.47 for NK Olimpija. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Bravo vs NK Olimpija Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovenia - 1. SNL Predictions