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Slovenia - 1. SNL Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00 
Primorje PPG 1.27 
Mura PPG 0.33
Slovenia - 1. SNL Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00 Primorje PPG 1.270-2 MISS
Mura PPG 0.33Home· +10.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.75 -7.1%
Over 3.5 31.1% Odds: 2.90 -9.8%
BTTS 56.8% Odds: 1.57 -10.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Primorje 1.51
Mura 1.30
Model Suggestion
BTTS -10.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 74%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 85.1%
Bet Hit 91% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.27) vs P(Home)=43.3%