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Abha vs Al Adalha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:00

Abha

PPG 2.44 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Al Adalha

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.0%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.5%1-15.9%1-22.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.7%2-18.4%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.2%3-18.0%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.7%4+-111.5%4+-24.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.8% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 9.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 49.5% — — —

BTTS 52.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.8%

H 68% / xG 2.9-0.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 3–0 10.2%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 4–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Abha2.9

Al Adalha0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ABHA · PPG 2.44

AL ADALHA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Abha (H) 67.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Adalha (A) 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Abha face Al Adalha in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Abha a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Al Adalha 9%, so Abha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Abha and 0.8 for Al Adalha (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Abha are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.75 for Al Adalha. This match finished 0-1.

Abha vs Al Adalha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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