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Al Jandal vs Al Wahda Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:10

Al Jandal

PPG 1.06 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Wahda

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-19.0%0-26.4%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.4%1-112.0%1-28.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.6%2-18.0%2-25.7%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.5%3-13.6%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% 28.6% 3.50 +30.2%

Draw 26.3% 29.0% 3.45 -5.6%

Away win 36.4% 52.4% 1.91 -30.5%

Over 2.5 53.1% 58.8% 1.70 -9.7%

Over 3.5 30.1% 37.7% 2.65 -20.2%

BTTS 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2✓ 8.6%

#3 0–0 6.3%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jandal1.3

Al Wahda1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JANDAL · PPG 1.06

AL WAHDA · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jandal (H) 37.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +30.2%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -5.6%

Al Wahda (A) 36.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -30.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jandal face Al Wahda in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jandal a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Al Wahda 36%, so Al Jandal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Jandal and 1.4 for Al Wahda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jandal are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.81 for Al Wahda. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Jandal vs Al Wahda Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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