Saudi-Arabia - Division 1Regular Season - 34Thursday, May 14, 202618:00
Al FaisalyPPG 1.81
4-0MISS
Al BatinPPG 0.44
Away· +49.2%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home64.4%
Odds: 1.20EV: -22.7%
Draw21.6%
Odds: 5.25EV: +8.0%
Away14.0%
Odds: 13.00EV: +49.2%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.563.3%Odds: 1.36-13.9%
Over 3.547.9%Odds: 1.85-11.4%
BTTS54.4%Odds: 1.73-5.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✘
2nd3-0✘
3rd2-1✘
4th3-1✘
5th1-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Faisaly
2.69
Al Batin
0.89
Model Suggestion
Home-22.7%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+49.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=64.4%