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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Regular Season - 22 ASCO Arena· Baku Thursday, April 16, 2026 13:00
Sebail logo Sebail PPG 1.91
4-0 HIT CS3
Simal logo Simal PPG 0.60
Home· +1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.8%
Odds: 1.17 EV: +1.6%
Draw 9.4%
Odds: 5.75 EV: -46.0%
Away 3.8%
Odds: 11.00 EV: -58.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 48.9% Odds: 2.05 +0.2%
BTTS 39.9% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sebail
3.08
Simal
0.54

Model Suggestion

Home +1.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -5.3%
Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.91), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

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