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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Friday, May 15, 2026 13:00 
Mingachevir PPG 1.92 
MOIK PPG 0.85
Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Friday, May 15, 2026 13:00 Mingachevir PPG 1.923-1 MISS
MOIK PPG 0.85Over2.5· -3.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.62 -3.8%
Over 3.5 34.9% Odds: 2.55 -11.0%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Mingachevir 2.14
MOIK 0.84
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -3.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -5.3%
Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.92) vs P(Home)=58.4%