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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Thursday, May 14, 2026 13:00 
Simal PPG 0.77 
Difai Agsu PPG 0.50
Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Thursday, May 14, 2026 13:00 Simal PPG 0.770-1 HIT CS5
Difai Agsu PPG 0.50Home· -3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
Over 3.5 30.2% Odds: 2.88 -13.0%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.59 -13.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Simal 1.32
Difai Agsu 1.45
Model Suggestion
BTTS -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.77), Away POOR (0.50)