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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Thursday, May 7, 2026 12:00 
Cebrayil PPG 1.73 
Baku Sporting PPG 1.73
Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Thursday, May 7, 2026 12:00 Cebrayil PPG 1.732-3 MISS
Baku Sporting PPG 1.73Home· +11.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.65 -2.2%
Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 2.70 -4.4%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.73 +1.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cebrayil 1.21
Baku Sporting 1.79
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -2.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Home(+11.7%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+11.7%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.73)